Following the better than expected conclusion of the Mueller Probe, excellent economic performance, and an increasingly far-left opposition movement growing within the Democratic Party as the 2020 election draws closer, President Trump’s approval rating from a Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll shows the public is beginning to come around in support of him.
The poll found that 48% of voters held a favorable view of the president while 52% disapproved. While there is still a net disapproval, the last time Trump had an approval rating this high from a Harvard CAPS poll was June of 2017 – two years ago.
Most of this boost in popularity is likely the result of the unexpectedly strong economic performance going on more than 10-years of expansion. The Hill reports that “a record 62 percent approving of his approach to employment and 59 percent approving of his handling of the economy.” 71% also agree that the economy is strong at the moment. If this continues, it will be a huge selling point for the Trump campaign.
“People’s views on the economy are gradually pushing Trump’s numbers up and his actions on other issues like China and immigration are neutral to positive,” said Mark Penn, the co-director of the Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll survey. “Every point of increase in this range of 45 to 50 improves the possibility of re-election.”Mark Penn comment to The Hill
The results do have some dark news for republicans as only 37% of voters indicated they are or will likely vote for Trump in the 2020 election. For Democrats, that number is 42%, but it may depend on which among the crowded field actually secures the nomination. But for an incumbent president in a booming economy, that number should be much higher.
While the Harvard CAPS poll is higher than average, it does follow a general trend for President Trump’s approval rating. The Gallup tracking poll has seen a steady increase in Trump’s favorability since the start of 2018, where he was polling in the upper 30’s compared to a Gallup high of 46% in mid-May.
The Real Clear Politics average finds Trump’s approval rating holding steady around 43%.
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